Author Archives: Matt Knipple

The Republican 2012 Lineup

By Matt Knipple

            Now that the 2008 Presidential Election is over, it is time for us Republicans to look at who is going to unseat President Obama in 2012 (actually, I think this is very unlikely barring a massive meltdown by the new President).  Republicans have been frantically looking as to who will be our new “savior” and put the Republicans back on the map and give the country some sort of checks and balances since everything is run by the Democrats now (tear).  I have no first hand knowledge of who the Republicans will pick, but here are some candidates that I think will come to mind (whether I agree with them or not).

            The first candidate that I know for a fact has been tossed around in the mix is the one and only, Sarah Palin.  In my opinion, this would be one of the worst choices of all time to run for President.  She clearly already showed that she was probably the worst choice as a choice for Vice President.  She actually, to me, makes George W. Bush seem like he’s on a level of Steven Hawking.  To her credit, she does have an energetic personality and hypes up some people like others cannot.  She also has a pretty solid base that could possibly give her a push in the primaries to be picked (not me). 

Here is a video of the discussion of Sarah Palin throwing in her hat for 2012: 

            The second candidate that I also see as a long shot is Jeb Bush.  Yes, we could have another Bush in office!  He, as Palin, seems to have a base in the right that is very loyal to him and very excited about him.  Here is an older article about the possibility of Jeb running in either 2012 or 2016.  To be honest, I do not know much about the man and how he did as Governor of Florida, but I do not see him winning a Presidential election because of his last name alone.  He could be the second coming of Christ and would not stand a shot because of what W has done. 

            A third, more of a sleeper type candidate, would be the current Governor of Florida, Charlie Crist.  Crist is another guy I do not know a ton about but have heard enough about him to make some sort of impression.  He seems more like a moderate-Conservative, like myself, and could be a good, new, fresh candidate for the Republicans to try to use and get some of the Independent and Democratic vote.  He is not the stereotypical Republican, like Hannity or Limbaugh, but more of a “Maverick” in being more moderate. 

Here is a video for Crist for 2012:

            The most promising candidate for 2012 for the Republicans is Mitt Romney.  People have said the fight for the 2008 Republican nomination is akin to the 1976 fight between Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan.  The aging, older Gerald Ford fended off Ronald Reagan, who became the face of the Republicans during his presidencies, just like the aging, older John McCain fended off Mitt Romney.  Ford went on to lose to Jimmy Carter just like John McCain went on to lose to Barack Obama.  Mitt Romney is rich and can get a lot of money raised just as Obama did and is very intelligent.  He might be guaranteed to be the nominee in 2012 if he so chooses. 

            Here is a final video made by somebody that includes many more people that he thinks can win the presidency for the Republicans in 2012:

            I’m not sure any of these people, like I said earlier, could dethrone Obama unless he completely screws up or for some reason does not run for President in 2012 but I thought I’d just go over some prospective candidates.

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Filed under American Electorate, McCain, Obama, Palin, Party Conventions, Republican

Early Voting Going Nationwide?

By Matt Knipple

            I decided to concentrate my most recent blog on voting, in particular early voting.  After going out and performing exit polls on the many people that showed up it got me thinking about the rest of the states and how popular or unpopular early voting is.  To my surprise, as pointed out by this CNN article, early voting isn’t even in every state and in some states that it does occur in, you must have a valid reason to not show up to the polls and may have to get signatures from notaries and so on to prove you cannot make the election date to vote.  Here is a video showing people lining up to register and cast an absentee ballot in Ohio.  It was contested by Republicans saying that people may be performing voter fraud:

            In my opinion early voting should be mandated in all the states in America.  I feel as if people were able to cast mail-in ballots and go to the polls throughout the week prior to actual election day, there would be a much higher turnout at the polls and more people would be encouraged to vote. 

            If you click on this link, it takes you to an interactive map of all the states that have early polls and all that do not.  To my surprise, only 25 states have early polling with data available, six states have early polling with no data available, and the rest of the states do not have early polling.  In Colorado, early voting data shows, as of October 31, that 365,054 in-person ballots have been cast and 1,112,782 mail-in ballots have been cast.  That means a total of 1,477,836 have voted so far, which is roughly 30% of Colorado’s entire population, which also means an even higher percentage of actual voters have turned out since the entire population of Colorado will not and cannot vote. 

            Here is another video talking about the early voting going on in Ohio (you may have to watch a commercial at the beginning that sponsor’s the video, sorry).

            After watching these videos and reading the article, it amazes me why some states do not have early voting.  It seems like it would benefit all of the states and the United States as a whole, to have early voting to get more people out.  In states like New York, it would really benefit them as they have a huge, dense population that it seems pretty unrealistic to get all of those people out to vote on one day.  It would be much more efficient to have early voting and it would give America a clearer answer as to who people wanted as a President because more people, in my opinion, would be inclined to vote.

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Filed under Colorado, Democratic Party, McCain, Obama, Republican, Swing States, Voter Demographics, Women Voters, youth vote

Attack the Policies McCain!

By Matt Knipple

 

So the first two presidential debates are over as well as a vice presidential debate and ever since the post-Republican National Convention and selecting Sarah Palin as the vice presidential nominee bumps Obama’s lead in the polls have widened a little for various reasons.  So what should John McCain begin to do to regain his position in the polls now?  People have suggested that he should continue to attack Barack Obama’s character but that is not the answer anymore, if it ever was.  The answer isn’t even to attack his inexperience because McCain picked a very inexperienced vice presidential candidate in Palin.  He needs to attack Barack Obama’s policy stances.  He needs to make the race between him and Barack Obama, not McCain and Palin against Barack Obama (I rarely hear Joe Biden’s name ever).

 

Obama’s campaign has branded his future as a president with the term “change”.  Not many people know what change is though with Barack Obama.  He is relatively inexperienced in the Senate and there is not much of a record with him.  With the budget deficit growing and the economy being in shambles right now, McCain should attack Barack Obama’s spending plans. Here are the priciest parts of Obama’s spending plan:

 

  • A $65 billion-a-year health plan
  • $15 billion in green energy spending
  • $85 billion in tax cuts and credits
  • A $25 billion-a-year increase in foreign aid
  • $18 billion a year in education spending
  • $3.5 billion for a national service plan

 

What this all amounts to is a spending plan around $200 billion, which equates to $800 billion over four years. 

 

Another issue that should be near and dear to McCain’s heart is defense spending.  With all of the spending Barack Obama does want to spend on, he wants to cut spending in defense during a very vulnerable time in America’s history.  Here is a short video of Obama talking about the Iraq war and defense spending, the part I want to point out is :07-:30:

 

 

Is there really a point of cutting defense spending right now?  We are very vulnerable economically and as a percentage of GDP defense spending right now is at 4%, well below the 45 year average of 5.5% which in the end will leave America even more vulnerable.  Here is a graph:

 

 

So, in short, McCain needs to start attacking some of the spending policies and defense cutting of Obama.  His term of Maverick (who voted with Bush 90% of the time) against Obama’s slogan of “change” is going to be a losing argument for McCain.  Attack what the “change” is!  Is change cutting defense spending and weakening our military in a time of uncertainty at home and overseas?  Is change adding billions of dollars into new entitlement programs that will push us more into a recession and add to our record deficit?

 

With Democrats almost certainly going to gain seats in the Senate and in the House, McCain needs to pull a miracle out of his hat in order to keep the systems of checks and balances in place.  Democrats do not need to control everything, throw us a bone here!

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Filed under Democratic Party, McCain, Obama, Republican

A Battle of the VP’s: Who’s Hungrier?

By Matt Knipple. 

Ever since Presidential hopeful, Senator John McCain, selected Governor of Alaska, Sarah Palin, as his nominee for Vice President the day after other Presidential hopeful, Senator Barack Obama’s acceptance speech, the election has pretty much been all about Mrs. Palin.  Some would even venture to say that the ticket should be Palin/McCain, not McCain/Palin. 

            The spotlight on Governor Palin has been so much more prominent than any spotlight on the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Joe Biden.  Mr. Biden has been in the shadows the past few weeks it seems but he is starting to come out attacking McCain and his party.  Biden goes on the attack saying that, “We’ve seen this movie before” in reference to the past two terms of George W. Bush and goes on to say that, “And we know, the sequel is always worse than the original.”  Mr. Biden also goes on to say that if the country is ready for four more years of Bush to vote for McCain and even refers to McCain as “Bush 44” in reference to George W. Bush being the 43rd President and McCain possibly being the 44th President of the United States.  Here is a video of Joe Biden attacking McCain, Palin, and the Republican Party:

            Joe Biden is not the only person that is out fighting for their party, Sarah Palin is doing the same thing.  Ever since the shocking selection of Governor Palin as Senator McCain’s Vice Presidential nominee the race has become much closer very quickly, some polls even showing John McCain being ahead since the Republican National Convention.

Palin has gone on the attack of Obama, much more than Biden has on McCain, or so it seems.  This may just be because of how shocking it is she is still the VP nominee but whatever she does seems to be amplified in the news and is seen by many more people.  Many people have seen the quote where Palin says during her acceptance speech, “Listening to him speak it’s easy to forget that this is a man who’s authored two memoirs, but not a single major law or even a reform, not even in the state Senate.”  It’s kind of ironic that she attacks his experience in a way when she is very inexperienced herself but it may work in the end.  She has also said that Obama is trying to save the world rather than keeping an eye on his own country and saving America.  This is a reference to how popular he is in Europe and how the world perception of him may be better than it is here in his own country.  Here is a video of Governor Palin attacking Senator Obama:

In the end the race for President will be between Barack Obama and John McCain, at least it should be, but right now the Vice Presidents have (in Palin’s case) and are starting to (in Biden’s case) be heard and attacking one another’s Presidential nominees.  Right now, Sarah Palin seems to be more effective and helping her party much more than Joe Biden is but that all may change when they show down against each other in the debates.  I hope that Palin can keep the momentum going for the Republicans and that in the end they come out on top but I feel the gap will close once again during the debates between the Vice Presidents.  I’m unsure how well she will do in a debate with an experienced politician such as Joe Biden.  It will be an interesting next couple of months

           

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Filed under Democratic Party, McCain, Obama, Palin, Republican, Vice-President

Should Obama Start Going Negative?

You’ve seen the campaign ads on television starting to come out where the Presidential candidates (John McCain and Barack Obama) give their stances on issues that are important in America today.  The campaign ads have not been all about the issues, though, and have began to turn into a smear campaign, almost exclusively from John McCain’s end. 

 

Here is the famous Paris Hilton/Britney Spears negative campaign ad against Barack Obama:

 

 

With the polls tightening (click on the link and the poll is about halfway down the page)  to a one point lead for Obama, people are starting to believe that Barack should try to start running negative ads attacking McCain in order to get his slightly larger lead back (the same CNN poll ran a day earlier had Obama with a 3 point lead and a 6 point lead six days prior).

 

It seems as if Barack Obama may be turning away from the positive campaign he pledged to run and is now taking his shot at running some negative campaign ads (though they are a lot tamer than McCain’s video I embedded above).  Here is the most “negative” campaign ad I have seen from Obama’s end:

 

 

My take on this is that if the negative ads posed by McCain’s team are helping him get the polls closer, then Barack Obama has nothing left to do but start his own smear campaign.  People have said this is exactly what McCain needs to do to have a shot at winning this election and it seems as if it may be working.  Barack is going to have to start getting nasty in this campaign for him to keep his lead even if that means he goes against his previous words saying he would run a positive campaign.

 

Also here is a video of Obama pledging to run a positive campaign:

 

If he wants to keep a positive campaign going there is one way he can keep his lead from shrinking.  He needs to take all these negative campaign ads that John McCain’s camp keeps running and turn them in his favor.  In other words, keep reiterating to the people so they know he is the candidate for change and is not going to join in on all of the smear campaign tactics and show the people that this is a candidate trying to use desperate measures in order to keep his party alive. 

 

He is trying to be new and fresh by running this positive campaign and needs to show the people of America that McCain is doing the status-quo politician smear campaign and prove to the people that these things are not true.  He needs to be himself and just rise above what McCain is doing.

 

In short, Barack Obama should get angry over all the things being said about him in McCain’s ads and start his own little smear campaign in order to make his lead in the polls grow larger again.  After all it would not be that difficult, all he would have to do is show an image of McCain hugging the current president and that in and of itself would make his lead in the polls increase by a few points.  He could keep his positive campaign running, as I said, and still win but, I feel this is a more efficient way of going at it.  Making McCain look bad and showing the Republicans as bad people will make Barack’s run for the presidency as easy as it could get (all of this is coming from a Republican planning on voting for McCain).

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Filed under Campaign Ads, Democratic Party, McCain, Media, Negative Campaigning, Obama, Republican