After class today I began to think about all the what if’s? What if a new electorate of young voters is created? What if more Latinos turn out more than before? What if Obama doesn’t gain the support from white voters that he needs? While doing this I continuously went back to the big HUGE question of the Hillary Voters, I continuously have to ask myself if Hillary voters are going to line up behind Obama come November as he needs. Well this disturbing poll not only shows that they won’t, but that dreadful division between the peoples party really is running ramped. The poll states that the same 58% of people that supported Hilary in June has not changed today. I said in class, before the DNC began that if Obama wants a guaranteed victory in November he would put Clinton on the ticket, pride aside, weakness aside, if he wanted to win in November, Hillary would most likely have to be the VP.
Well, startling enough, still to this day, this poll shows that nearly 30% of Hillary supporters are backing McCain, 70% say that Biden as VP had no effect on their decision for Obama, and even WORSE nearly 50% of Hilary’s former supporters, that are still undecided say that Pailn being chosen as McCain’s VP makes it more likely for them to vote for the McCain campaign. As we were talking about in class to day, Obama needs to turn out white voters, Hilary’s supporters to be white, female, and this poll shows that they are wither not leaning towards Obama, or leaning towards McCain. Why is it that these Hillary voters are still not fully backing Obama, and still seem to favor him as a candidate as whole then the entire Democratic Party does? The article says, “They (Hilary supporters) trust Obama more than McCain on important issues, though not by as much as Democrats overall do. They prefer Obama over McCain on the economy by 30 percentage points, compared to Obama’s 50-point edge among all Democrats. They like Obama on Iraq by 17 points, while all Democrats give Obama a 40-point margin. The starkest contrast comes from comparing Clinton backers still refusing to support Obama with other Democrats. Just three in 10 Clinton supporters still not backing Obama view him favorably, compared to eight in 10 of all Democrats. While most Democrats and former Clinton supporters strongly prefer Obama over McCain to handle key issues, those Clinton voters still opposing Obama opt for McCain: On the economy by 32 points, and on Iraq by 47 points.” Are the large percentage points going to hurt the Obama campaign enough, to where no matter what electorate he creates he will still lose? The fact of the matter is that Obama needed more than just Hilary’s support, he needed her on the ticket; her not being on the ticket is hurting him now, it will hurt him later, and most likely hurt him come November.
I think this also ties into the poll that I posted about race, there is an unfortunate, underlying fear of race and change still to this day, I feel as if it has something to do with Clinton supporters not immediately backing Obama, it OBVIOUSLY had something to do with the McCain HANG add, and its going to hurt Obama. Representing change helped Barrack get the nomination, but it seems as if it’s going to keep him from getting the presidency. I think that accurately represents the mood of the country, they are ready for semi-change (that being the nomination) but not ready for complete change (that being the presidency.) I realize that one of the main reasons Obama got the nomination was because of young voters turning out in large numbers, but he is obviously going to need more than that. Although I believe that a new electorate has been created within the young voters, the Latino voters, and even more of an African-American turn-out, is it going to be enough to elect a Black candidate?