by Shawn Scanlon; Every_Man_A_King
Between Palin, McCain’s attack ads, and renewed Republican confidence, Democrats are worried. My advice: calm down, take a breath, and look at Colorado/Virginia.
Colorado and Virginia are a crucial part of any Republican strategy. They have 22 electoral votes, enough to ruin McCain’s chances at winning the race for the White House. Virginia and Colorado are now more blue than red. That’s right, in just 8 years, they both went from deep red, to swing state, to likely blue. Likely blue, you ask? Yup.
As we have seen in exit polls, those with a Bachelor’s degree or higher are more likely to vote democratic than those who do not hold such a degree. There are only 5 states with a higher percentage of people with Bachelor’s degrees than Virginia or Colorado: they all went for Kerry in 2004. These two likely will go for Obama this time. According to the U.S. Census, 32.7% of Coloradoans have a Bachelor’s degree or higher. In Virginia, it’s 29.5%.
If we assume that Nevada, Montana, Colorado, New Mexico, Michigan, Ohio, Virginia, and New Hampshire are the swing states, McCain must win over 60% of those electoral votes. That is a tough task.
Fight hard, Obama fans, but keep this in mind: if Republicans think that they’re winning, they’re just plain wrong.